Let’s steal the stealer

A re-steal consists in re-raising all-in an agression identified as being a bluff (a steal). Purpose is to steal the stealer and thus re-steal.

It is a very powerful move but also very risky. You must use it in a perfect context or it will be for sure EV- in the long run. You should not attempt a re-steal more than once per hour. The power of the re-steal is based on the fold equity over your opponent. So you need to have a really strong read on him.

You need to have identified a bluff. How do you that? First by identifying non bluffs. When can you suspect that someone is not bluffing?

  • This player plays tight
  • He does not have the position (UTG, UTG+1, UTG+2)
  • Blinds are small compared to his stack (no interest in stealing)
  • He raises limpers when blinds are high compared to the average stack (raising players which have a low fold equity shows strength)
  • The raiser raises to 2 or 3 BB with a stack of 9 BB
  • The raiser raises a small stack in the BB which is already committed

So how can you identify a bluff?

  • The players folded several times to a 3-bet
  • He is the cheapleader and always raises when first to speak
  • His M is inferior to 7
  • His M is superior to 12 (and he can afford to fold to re-steal)
  • ….

You detected a bluff. What should you do?

  • You should be in a position to place a raise at least equal to 25% of the stack of the aggressor and offer him a pot odds inferior to 2 to 1 with a raise at least equivalent to 4 times its initial raise : indeed before your re-steal the pot is made of the BB, the SB and 3BB raised by the aggressor so 4,5BB in total. In order to cut your opponent’s odds you need to raise at least to 12BB which will give a 7,5 against 16,5 odd (so 2,2:1)
  • A re-steal to 15BB is a good target
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