3/4/5 – Bet


Let’s steal the stealer

A re-steal consists in re-raising all-in an agression identified as being a bluff (a steal). Purpose is to steal the stealer and thus re-steal.

It is a very powerful move but also very risky. You must use it in a perfect context or it will be for sure EV- in the long run. You should not attempt a re-steal more than once per hour. The power of the re-steal is based on the fold equity over your opponent. So you need to have a really strong read on him.

You need to have identified a bluff. How do you that? First by identifying non bluffs. When can you suspect that someone is not bluffing?

  • This player plays tight
  • He does not have the position (UTG, UTG+1, UTG+2)
  • Blinds are small compared to his stack (no interest in stealing)
  • He raises limpers when blinds are high compared to the average stack (raising players which have a low fold equity shows strength)
  • The raiser raises to 2 or 3 BB with a stack of 9 BB
  • The raiser raises a small stack in the BB which is already committed

So how can you identify a bluff?

  • The players folded several times to a 3-bet
  • He is the cheapleader and always raises when first to speak
  • His M is inferior to 7
  • His M is superior to 12 (and he can afford to fold to re-steal)
  • ….

You detected a bluff. What should you do?

  • You should be in a position to place a raise at least equal to 25% of the stack of the aggressor and offer him a pot odds inferior to 2 to 1 with a raise at least equivalent to 4 times its initial raise : indeed before your re-steal the pot is made of the BB, the SB and 3BB raised by the aggressor so 4,5BB in total. In order to cut your opponent’s odds you need to raise at least to 12BB which will give a 7,5 against 16,5 odd (so 2,2:1)
  • A re-steal to 15BB is a good target

What are the advantages of a squeeze over a 3-bet?

Squeeze : the more the merrier


3-bets are increasingly mastered by regulars. The squeeze however which consists in raising following an opening of a player which got called by one or several others. The squeeze in bluff is a very efficient move. Compared to a 3-bet more chips are involved in the pot meaning a squeeze does not have to succeed as much as a 3-bet does on order for it to be profitable. Quite surprisingly several reasons can explain why a it is often more respected than a 3-bet.

  • First it is a less personal move (since you are not targeting just 1 player) which will make your bluff less obvious
  • Second it is a move which is more difficult to offset (considering that you are facing here again several players)
  • Third, a squeeze represents a more narrow range than a freebet (you will be confronted to more 3-bets than squeezes)
The strength of your hand does not matter much when you want to squeeze in bluff. Like Dan Harrington during the final table of the WSOP 2004 you can do it with 62o! But holding an A or a K as a blocker will limit the risk against a big pair or AK.
You can also squeeze for value. Do not overestimate implied odds of speculative hand (like T7s)  in a pot with several players. A squeeze can be a good option depending on the range of opponents. Also have no shame in winning the pot preflop with AA or KK after a squeeze considering that the strength of those hands decreases with the number of players involved.
If you squeeze do not make it too expensive. A lot of players raise at pot value when they squeeze but with effective stacks of 100BB when you squeeze you should not engage more than 4 times the initial raise.